Blackjack Card counting has existed since the 1950s. Casinos initially struggled to deal with successful card counters.
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However, they’ve spent the past several decades understanding this advantage play (AP) method and how to combat it. Casinos have since added multiple decks, instated unfavorable rules, and learned how to spot APs.
These days, the industry even has technology on their side. They use facial recognition technology and databases to identify APs and keep their info on file, respectively.
That said, casinos seemingly have a big edge in this game of cat and mouse. Many blackjack players feel that card counting is dead as a result.
In reality, though, card counting and table-based advantage gambling is just as alive as ever. I’ll cover why this is the case and what you can do to win a fortune today.
You’ve likely seen card counting showcased in movies. This AP method is often portrayed as a complicated process that only geniuses can employ.
But counting cards isn’t really that complex, and you can learn it in minutes. Below, you can see the main components of card counting when using the popular Hi-Lo system.
Your first task as a card counter is to watch cards as they’re dealt and assign the following values to each type:
You need to keep a running tallying and add or subtract 1 as each card comes out of the deck. This count is known as your “running count.”
Understanding the running count is a nice start. However, you need to have a “true count” to account for the multiple decks featured at most real money blackjack games.
You must divide the running count by the estimated remaining decks to make this conversion. You estimate the amount of decks left by visually looking at the shoe.
Here’s an example:
You may have trouble determining how many decks are left at first. Furthermore, you might not be so precise on the remaining decks (i.e. 3.5) and true count (i.e. 2.57).
But the more precise you are, the better you’ll be at knowing your exact advantage or disadvantage. You should become more comfortable with these aspects over time.
Once you have the true count figured out, you can apply it to see if you have an advantage over the casino. Here’s how the true count correlates to an edge or disadvantage in various scenarios:
You gain an advantage when the true count is at or near +1. However, you don’t want to raise your bets until reaching a +1.5 true count or higher. A more-favorable count helps you make higher wagers with more confidence.
You determine your bet size based on your advantage in a given hand. Assuming the casino holds an edge, then you flat bet.
But you want to gradually raise your wagers as the true count becomes more favorable. Here are examples on how you can determine your bet sizes:
This model represents a 1-12 bet spread. $25 serves as one unit, while $300 represents 12 units (300 / 25).
You need to spread your bets from low to high to make long-term profits. However, you don’t want to get crazy with a 1-25 spread or higher. Pit bosses can easily spot this massive difference.
You can further increase your profits by knowing when to deviate from proper strategy based on the count.
The main idea behind card counting is to wager more when the deck is rich in aces and 10s. Your chances of getting a natural blackjack are higher at this point.
Another perk to counting cards is that you can tell when more high cards (favor you) exist than low cards (favor dealer). Dealers, who draw to a hard or soft 17, benefit from low cards, because they have a smaller chance of busting out.
Assuming you go away from basic strategy at the right times, you can further boost your edge. Here’s an example:
You don’t necessarily have to make these strategy deviations to win with counting. But you can increase your advantage even more when doing so.
Back in the 1960s, famed gambling author Edward Thorp refined card counting to the point where he gained a sizable edge over casinos.
However, Thorp’s Ten Count system wouldn’t hold up in today’s blackjack world. Worse rules, enhanced surveillance, savvy pit bosses, and facial recognition make counting tougher than ever.
You need to put far more effort into winning blackjack profits today. Many players take this as a sign that card counting is dead.
They don’t see a way to get around the databases, facial recognition, and RFID tracking inside chips that are used today.
Of course, card counters are still making money today. Therefore, those who think this AP method is dead are wrong.
You can win through card counting alone if you’re skilled enough. But you should consider adding more layers to your approach in the form of shuffle tracking, different appearances, and more.
Shuffle tracking is mixed with card counting to capitalize on weak shuffles. It can also result in less scrutiny from the pit boss and surveillance.
This technique calls on you to look for opportunities where aces and 10s are grouped together. You want to follow these card batches, or “slugs,” as they’re placed into the discard tray.
Once the shoe has been dealt, the dealer pulls cards out of the discard tray and begin shuffling.
You continue visually tracking the slugs as the croupier shuffles. If the dealer uses a “one pass” shuffle (weaker than two pass), you can successfully employ this method and determine where the slug might come out during the next shoe.
Assuming you’ve done a good job at tracking the slug, you can raise your bets once the slug cards begin coming out.
Shuffle tracking accomplishes two main goals:
Regarding the latter, increasing your bets towards the end of the shoe is a big sign that you may be counting. You’re more likely to determine that the deck is rich in high cards at this point.
With shuffle tracking, though, you can more accurately locate a slug of good cards. If this slug is earlier in the shoe, then you can also spread your bets earlier too.
You can hit the casino multiple times within a year or even month by changing your look. Different appearances make it harder for gambling venues to recognize you after multiple hot nights.
You don’t necessarily have to wear disguises. In fact, flamboyant looks can attract unwanted attention from the pit boss.
A better plan is to slightly alter your appearance. You can go unshaven with glasses one time, for example, then be cleanshaven the next.
Again, you want to be mindful of how large you’re spreading bets. The bigger the spread, the more likely the pit boss will take notice.
Of course, you must vary your minimum and maximum wagers by a fair amount. Otherwise, you won’t make any money.
But you also want to avoid being greedy and going from a $10 minimum to $500. A 1-100 spread like this will almost assuredly lead to you being thrown out.
Some of the best US casinos are more tolerant than others when monitoring advantage players. Ideally, you’ll play at gambling establishments that gives you the benefit of the doubt.
Every casino has its limits regarding APs. The best plan is to research casinos ahead of time and chose those that have a reputation for being lenient.
The worst thing you can do as an advantage gambler is continue hitting the same casino again and again. One huge session can draw attention from the pit boss and surveillance – let alone multiple big wins in a row.
You want to stay on the move and continue traveling from casino to casino. This practice is much easier in major gambling destinations, such as Atlantic City and Las Vegas.
Assuming you’re good enough and have a large bankroll, you might even consider playing in various states. This way, you avoid developing the AP stigma in single gambling destination.
Card counting is much easier to learn than Hollywood makes it seem. You can earn money through counting if you practice enough and develop good skills.
That said, card counting isn’t dead in any capacity. Even with their sophisticated technology and trained employees, casinos are still losing money to APs.
Of course, counting cards is also tougher than at any point. The best APs counter this by improving their skills even more.
Some of the things that you can do to boost your profits include shuffle tracking, changing your appearance, researching casinos, and staying on the move. The more layers you throw on top of your card counting approach, the more money you stand to win.
But first thing’s first: you need to thoroughly learn basic card counting. After you feel comfortable in your counting abilities, you should proceed to the advanced AP techniques.
Blackjack is one of those games at the casino that would really require a bit of strategy for you to win, and some might even say that blackjack is much harder to play than poker since the former requires more critical thinking than the latter, which relies more on luck and reading opponents’ emotions. However, knowing some basic strategies on blackjack will help you win more matches, and these strategies are quite easy to understand and learn. To get you started in winning at blackjack, here are some simple tips and strategies that you can apply to your gameplay.
If you have a set budget for playing blackjack, the number one strategy that you should learn is about learning how to start small bets. By having only small bets during the first games or matches, you will be able to get used to the gameplay of blackjack and also the “feel” of the table without gambling too much with betting high.
There are certain days where luck might not be on your side, which would often be the cause of losing streaks, so if you start betting high during those particular days, then you will start losing money quickly. The key to one of these blackjack simple strategies is to learn how to gauge your winning and losing streaks so that you will slowly understand when you would want to bet higher or lower.
It is a general blackjack rule that the one that sits on the first table, usually found in the right of the dealer, will be the first one that will receive his or her first set of cards. Sitting at the first base seat is often advantageous for veterans that already wanted to know what their cards are going to be so that they will know when to stand or to hit. In addition, sitting at the first seat also prevents his or her cards from being influenced by other players, who may have higher or lower cards than the first seat player.
However, if you are a beginner in the game, sitting on the first base seat may actually be a disadvantage for you, as you will have a shorter time to decide what to do with your cards and think about your dealer’s up card. For veterans, thinking of a strategy with their cards wouldn’t be a problem since they have already memorized each move they will use for every possible card combination. So, if you are just a newbie at blackjack, don’t sit at the first base seat and just sit instead to the middle or last seats so that you will have more time to strategize with your cards.
The way to win in blackjack is for you to beat the dealer’s cards without going over the value of 21 with your cards. So, it is important that you should always think about your dealer’s cards when making your moves. Unfortunately, there is only one dealer card that is face-up on the table, and that is called the up card. Because the dealer’s second card is face-down, it would be much harder for you to strategize your cards since you would have to guess the value of the unknown card.
However, the value of the dealer’s entire card can already be strategized by only thinking about the up card since the said card can usually affect the value of the dealer’s hand more than the face-down card. If the dealer’s up card has a value of 2 to 6, there is a chance that you might win if you have cards with a higher value. But if the dealer has an up card with a value of 7 or higher, then you may want to surrender or fold since it would be difficult to beat the dealer’s cards that already have a high value even without you knowing the value of the face-down card.
There is a pattern that you can follow depending on the cards that you and the dealer have on the table. Here are some of the patterns that coincide with the basic blackjack rules:
Memorizing these basic patterns can be quite difficult for beginners, but there are blackjack rule books and strategy cards that you can purchase online that can be quite handy to bring with you whenever you are playing blackjack in a live casino.
So, those are just some simple strategies that you can follow if you want to win more rounds or matches at blackjack. Most of the strategies stated above don’t actually involve the actual gameplay aspect of the game, as they are more about planning where you would want to be at the table and what to do before the game starts. Memorize the pattern for each card combination and learn how to deal with the dealer’s up card to have an advantage over most players.